Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 8.774471 10.054094 11.405659 12.934641 14.611265 16.388926 18.411208
2025-09-07 7.089302 8.887346 10.909116 13.330645 16.131404 19.248567 22.959093
2025-09-14 5.667154 7.739588 10.209661 13.323312 17.094367 21.465302 26.863470
2025-09-21 4.393543 6.542041 9.254349 12.843866 17.379836 22.832077 29.785997
2025-09-28 3.426977 5.562339 8.413522 12.363747 17.552974 23.995701 32.446666
2025-10-05 3.056391 5.318325 8.475370 13.005774 19.132262 26.921068 37.345883
2025-10-12 2.832290 5.241190 8.735376 13.901210 21.057376 30.333218 42.951994
2025-10-19 2.583038 5.082447 8.847497 14.575119 22.691709 33.403456 48.194935
2025-10-26 2.243021 4.724672 8.620310 14.729996 23.596404 35.517224 52.231378
2025-11-02 1.867869 4.245710 8.150849 14.478248 23.892553 36.795509 55.170978
2025-11-09 1.549845 3.810699 7.697046 14.199279 24.109669 37.943199 57.935135
2025-11-16 1.306418 3.469421 7.354072 14.051727 24.488732 39.301030 60.991305
2025-11-23 1.094318 3.156709 7.035045 13.930912 24.919248 40.773187 64.291625
2025-11-30 0.999607 3.072575 7.108133 14.448125 26.334947 43.689138 69.671469
2025-12-07 0.856319 2.852393 6.908763 14.492737 27.015037 45.554987 73.615206
2025-12-14 0.676975 2.503896 6.424562 14.009164 26.831259 46.137395 75.736886
2025-12-21 0.527986 2.187240 5.957905 13.510714 26.583981 46.598348 77.673523
2025-12-28 0.500805 2.194038 6.149587 14.203922 28.299171 50.044029 84.001541
2026-01-04 0.495879 2.264204 6.479134 15.163792 30.481872 54.242264 91.499396
2026-01-11 0.472271 2.273421 6.676875 15.884805 32.284344 57.893404 98.251373
2026-01-18 0.412804 2.156007 6.584645 16.051149 33.154662 60.126945 102.945702
2026-01-25 0.335550 1.954498 6.278292 15.783380 33.268946 61.183644 105.902135
2026-02-01 0.269242 1.764157 5.970714 15.486181 33.310634 62.115139 108.674077